Rick Noack, The Washington Post Published 6:16 am PST, Friday, November 9, 2018 Almost half of all countries have fertility rates below the replacement level, according to an unprecedented study published by The Lancet journal. While there was not a single nation with a fertility rate below the 2.05 threshold back in 1950, the global average is now only 2.4 - down from 4.7 about 70 years ago. Differences between nations have become more pronounced, with some European countries having record-low rates down to one child per woman on average, compared to more than six children in some African nations. If you live in a poorer nation with high fertility rates, a decrease would likely be a reason for celebration. Lower fertility rates are often the result of fewer child deaths, easily accessible contraception and prosperous economies, which explains why Europe, North America and richer Asian nations like Japan are disproportionately affected. In countries with … [Read more...] about Fertility rates around the world are declining. Trump supporters won’t like the solution.
Replacement fertility rate
China’s state-run Global Times newspaper reported on Tuesday that the government will shut down all its family planning administrative departments to spend more money on caring for the elderly, relegating family planning control to a new “Department of Demographic Surveillance and Family Development.” For decades, China imposed a “one-child policy” on its citizens, forcing women to abort their children if they already had one and triggering the widespread practice of sex-selective abortion, leading to a significant deficit in the number of women of child-bearing age in the current population. Communist Party leader Xi Jinping moved to reverse the trend by replacing the old law with a “two-child policy” and a campaign encouraging parents to have a second child. The new policy has failed to entice Chinese families to grow, however, and the number of births dropped nationally after the rule change in 2016, with signs it will continue to do so … [Read more...] about China Replaces Family Planning Agencies with ‘Demographic Surveillance’ Department
The Italian Statistics Bureau (ISTAT) has released demographic forecasts for the country predicting a steadily declining population due to a birthrate well below replacement levels. From 60.6 million in 2017, Italy’s population is expected to fall by more than ten percent over the next several decades to just 54.1 million in 2065, ISTAT stated in its May 2018 report. This drop will occur despite increased life expectancy, which is projected to grow by 5 years for both genders, reaching 86.1 years and 90.2 years, respectively for men and women (80.6 and 85 years in 2016), ISTAT said.The fertility rate in Italy is currently 1.34 children per woman, significantly below the replacement level of roughly 2.1 children per woman. Globally, Italy is ranked 212 out of 223 countries for new live births as a percentage of the total population, with just 8.6 live births per 1000 citizens. Since Italians are having fewer and fewer babies, the only thing holding keeping the population … [Read more...] about Italian Government Forecasts Demographic Plunge by 2065
Libya On October 17th, members of the United Nations (U.N.) Security Council urged all Libyan parties to endorse and sign the recently finalized political agreement for the creation of a Government of National Accord. The Security Council reiterated the agreement offers a real prospect for resolving Libya’s political, security, and institutional challenges. It also noted the Libya Sanctions Committee is prepared to designate those who threaten Libya’s peace, stability, and security or who undermine the successful completion of its political transition. On October 19th, the Foreign Ministers of Algeria, France, Germany, Morocco, Qatar, Spain, Tunisia, Turkey, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), the United Kingdom (U.S) and the United States (U.S.), as well as the European Union (EU) High Representative for Foreign Affairs, called on all parties to the Libyan Political Dialogue to immediately approve the political agreement brokered by U.N. Special Representative for Libya … [Read more...] about Africa Update OCTOBER 22, 2015
As one of the largest employers in the border town of Laredo, Texas, I don't need to read the newspapers to tell me our country has a labor shortage problem. I know it from the hundreds of jobs I have been trying to fill for years.Unfortunately, it's not just me. Other employers are having a hard time finding the right candidates to fill vacancies at all skill and experience levels. And as if this weren't bad enough, the US Census Bureau just reported that for the first time in our country's history, people over 65 will outnumber children by 2035.In fact, the number of children women are having in their lifetime -- or the total fertility rate -- has declined in recent years from 2.12 in 2007 to 1.77 last fall. This number falls under the required replacement rate of 2.1 births to maintain a population.A shrinking workforce and an aging society are recipes for a stagnating economy -- just ask Japan.What are we to do?There are a number of ideas worth considering, but here's one thing we … [Read more...] about Without immigration, our economy is in big trouble