I don’t want to be that guy who can’t stop writing about the next election, even when there are still votes being counted from the last one. (There is still one U.S. House race in California in which Republican David Valadao has not conceded to Democrat T.J. Cox, although most observers have called the race for Cox.) But New York Times columnist Thomas Edsall’s piece this morning is too interesting not to pass along. The headline: “Donald Trump’s Dimming Prospects,” makes clear that even the careful Edsall can’t resist looking toward 2020. The good news for Trump, according to one of the Ohio-based analysts that Edsall quotes, is that Ohio, which for many cycles has been one of the two key swing states, has become redder. He writes: Herb Asher, professor emeritus of political science at Ohio State and a longtime observer of local politics, was not optimistic about Democratic chances in the state in 2020. In an email, Asher wrote: ‘In … [Read more...] about Will 5 Southwest states and 2 key demographic groups be blue in 2020?
ALBANY – As Republicans fretted last week over the string of Election Day losses that flipped the state Senate to Democratic Party control, they might seek solace in a not-so-small dose of reality. The Republicans should have lost the Senate at least 10 years ago and, in fact, probably a lot longer ago than that were it not for the state's arcane way of determining how legislative seats are drawn. Thanks to the state redistricting system – one of the nation’s most adept at gerrymandering and protecting parties – the Senate GOP decade after decade aggressively re-drew Senate district lines in ways meant solely to protect their power in the Senate. “Redistricting was the one tool that the Republicans could use to maintain the majority, and it was used effectively," said Nick Spano, a lobbyist and a former longtime Senate Republican from Yonkers who went through three redistricting rounds during his time in the Legislature. Once … [Read more...] about Creative map-drawing kept Senate GOP in power for decades despite demographics
Anna Edgerton, Bloomberg Published 12:38 pm PST, Thursday, November 8, 2018 Voters wait in line to place their completed ballots in a collection box at a polling station in Miami on Nov. 6, 2018. Voters wait in line to place their completed ballots in a collection box at a polling station in Miami on Nov. 6, 2018. Photo: Bloomberg Photo By Jayme Gershen. Photo: Bloomberg Photo By Jayme Gershen. Image 1 of / 1 Caption Close Image 1 of 1 Voters wait in line to place their completed ballots in a collection box at a polling station in Miami on Nov. 6, 2018. Voters wait in line to place their completed ballots in a collection box at a polling station in Miami on Nov. 6, 2018. Photo: Bloomberg Photo By Jayme Gershen. Florida Democrats stung by midterms … [Read more...] about Florida Democrats stung by midterms pin hopes on demographics
When word spread that White Fence Farm — an iconic Lakewood family restaurant known for its rustic setting, petting zoo and year-round Christmas shop — was closing at the end of the year, fans of the quaint eatery turned out Friday evening to get at least one more fried chicken dinner. Young and old made up the line that stretched out the door. Erin Sim, of Lakewood, was standing in line, and she turned up specifically because she heard the restaurant that’s been in business for 45 years was closing on Dec. 30. “It’s one of my favorite restaurants. I’ve come here since I was a kid. I come here every birthday,” she said. “I’m super sad.” Co-owner Craig Caldwell said in a statement Friday that the restaurant has been operating at a net monthly loss for a while and “we can no longer operate in this capacity.” The tight labor market that has put the squeeze on restaurants across the Denver area has been a … [Read more...] about White Fence Farm co-owner says changing demographics, labor shortage played part in decision to close Lakewood institution
China’s state-run Global Times newspaper reported on Tuesday that the government will shut down all its family planning administrative departments to spend more money on caring for the elderly, relegating family planning control to a new “Department of Demographic Surveillance and Family Development.” For decades, China imposed a “one-child policy” on its citizens, forcing women to abort their children if they already had one and triggering the widespread practice of sex-selective abortion, leading to a significant deficit in the number of women of child-bearing age in the current population. Communist Party leader Xi Jinping moved to reverse the trend by replacing the old law with a “two-child policy” and a campaign encouraging parents to have a second child. The new policy has failed to entice Chinese families to grow, however, and the number of births dropped nationally after the rule change in 2016, with signs it will continue to do so … [Read more...] about China Replaces Family Planning Agencies with ‘Demographic Surveillance’ Department