“Taken together, the States of Change projections for the Republican Party are reasonably dire,” Sean Trende, a senior election analyst for RealClearPolitics, noted in a review of the scenarios included in the report. But he added later, “Simply put, if demographics were the overwhelming factor that many suggest they are, then a candidate like Trump ought not to have been able to win in the least-white electorate on record. Yet he did win — and likely won in part as a reaction to these demographic changes.” … [Read more...] about America’s Electorate Is Getting More Diverse. That’s No Guarantee For Democrats.
Although Culberson has often easily won re-election, this year Democrats came out of the woodwork to challenge the deeply conservative congressman. Texas’ 7th is one of just three GOP-held districts in the state where voters narrowly opted for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump in he 2016 presidential vote, making it a prime Democratic pickup opportunity in the midterm elections. The district went for Clinton 49 percent to 47 percent, a sharp swing from 2012 when it went for Mitt Romney over Barack Obama by 21 percentage points. … [Read more...] about Establishment-Backed Moderate Wins Heated Democratic House Primary In Texas
She soon entered the race, and won the endorsement of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus and Latino Victory Fund, with both choosing to endorse her over Martinez out of a desire to see more Latinas in Congress. (There are just eight Hispanic women in Congress, compared to 24 men.) Latino Victory Fund has since spent $325,000 on television ads backing her. … [Read more...] about The Most Interesting Democratic Primary No One Is Talking About Is In New Mexico
And Van Drew took steps earlier this year to inoculate himself from at least some progressive criticism. He withdrew his sponsorship from the amendment requiring parental notification for abortion and from legislation reinstating New Jersey’s death penalty for certain cases. … [Read more...] about Conservative Democrat Wins Primary In New Jersey House Seat
Although New York is, on the whole, a solidly Democratic state, the more moderate and conservative parts of the state ― in Long Island, Staten Island and the vast regions beyond metropolitan New York City ― are often major battlegrounds in the House of Representatives. … [Read more...] about Nationally Backed Democrat Falls Short In New York Primary For Congress