The report lays out more than 30 possible scenarios for upcoming elections. In several, voting patterns stay the same as in past elections, with the only change coming from the overall makeup of the electorate. Generally, as the electorate becomes more diverse, that would shift the momentum increasingly toward Democrats in future years. But especially in the short term, there’s still room for variance. For instance, if the unusually high share of third-party voters in the last election “return home” to their parties in the next presidential contest, but 2016′s voting patterns are otherwise repeated by the 2020 electorate, the country could end with an Electoral College tie. … [Read more...] about America’s Electorate Is Getting More Diverse. That’s No Guarantee For Democrats.
Although Culberson has often easily won re-election, this year Democrats came out of the woodwork to challenge the deeply conservative congressman. Texas’ 7th is one of just three GOP-held districts in the state where voters narrowly opted for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump in he 2016 presidential vote, making it a prime Democratic pickup opportunity in the midterm elections. The district went for Clinton 49 percent to 47 percent, a sharp swing from 2012 when it went for Mitt Romney over Barack Obama by 21 percentage points. … [Read more...] about Establishment-Backed Moderate Wins Heated Democratic House Primary In Texas
Haaland’s team is trying to turn the money gap to their advantage. “I really don’t think that our electoral system was designed for Native American woman to hold positions of power,” a script for volunteers making phone calls on her behalf reads. “Outside spending has poured into this race to stop Deb’s momentum and to stop her from making history.” … [Read more...] about The Most Interesting Democratic Primary No One Is Talking About Is In New Mexico
However, Amie Maria Babischkin, a nurse active in Action New Jersey Together, said she currently plans to leave the congressional part of the ballot blank. Among other concerns, his vote against same-sex marriage legalization offends Babischkin personally, since she is a lesbian. … [Read more...] about Conservative Democrat Wins Primary In New Jersey House Seat
Although New York is, on the whole, a solidly Democratic state, the more moderate and conservative parts of the state ― in Long Island, Staten Island and the vast regions beyond metropolitan New York City ― are often major battlegrounds in the House of Representatives. … [Read more...] about Nationally Backed Democrat Falls Short In New York Primary For Congress